Notes on Decision Making and Rational Choice Richard N. Lebow's "Between Peace and War"

Jervis?s argument as to why decisivenesss at mensurate atomic number 18 not initially rational- Individual Human Characteristics (pp.105-106)- cognitive ConsistencyPeople tend to think that other people hold the uniform determine and beliefs and thus follow the same thinking convening as them. -Irrational ConsistencyThe pursuit of consistency becomes irrational if it closes the policy-makers mind from traffic better alternatives. Aspects are:i. Powerful stopping point, belief preservation- confronted with parvenu discipline that is hard to comprehend, people may ignore the freshly education in order to preserve their previous beliefs on which to theme their close. ii. Desensitisatin to ? manage offs?- If a person favours one decision preceding(prenominal) all others, they may not take into consideration the ? change over offs? that would occur through making that decision. iii. Post-decision rationalisation- After a decision, in that respect is the tendency to jus tify the decision made to others to protect oneself. Janis and Mann?s theory on decision making (pp.109)1.Decision makers are homosexual beings- therefore they need positive reinforcement and election to see what they essential to see, which can make the weighing up of factors in a decision biased. (NB mistakable to Jervis: Powerful closing/ tactile sensation Preservation and Desensitisation to ?trade offs?)2.If the sensed risks of a decision are seen as serious, they?ll find other course of action- Could assume to Bolstering ? picking the safest option and then feat to exaggerate the benefits. 3.

If no suit able alternative can be found = tenseness wh! ich leads to-over evaluation-over sensitivity (Hypervigilance)-ignorance of new information (NB Similar to Jervis: Powerful Determination/ Belief Preservation)?Both note the miss of empirical info supporting the topic of rational option decision making, imputable to the overwhelming and uncontrollable amount of variables in any seek for empirical data. ProcessRational ChoiceFailure of Rational ChoiceCognitive and AffectiveDefining GoalsGoals are outlined according to values and preferencesWhims and personality of the individual affecting which... If you want to get a full essay, order it on our website: BestEssayCheap.com

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